Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen
It is a special pleasure and privilege to be here with
you this morning. And I think the Financial Times deserves every commendation
for providing this platform, for discussing the region’s investment climate
with a global audience . I am also grateful for the invitation to deliver
this Keynote Address.
I am told that this year’s summit seeks to focus our
attention on what is working in Africa in the hope of drawing broader lessons
that could benefit the continent as a whole.
I have also been asked to speak briefly on our Ease of
doing business efforts in Nigeria.
Regarding the question that FT asks, What makes Africa
work?, I am pleased to say that searching for answers is not as exasperating as
it might have been even a decade ago. Today we can demonstrate with clear
examples that what makes Africa work are the ingenuity and resilience of the
people, especially its 70% youth population, leadership and good governance,
allowing the private sector and markets to function, focusing on
infrastructural development, and the incredible opportunities that abound.
Somehow everyone has a hunch that if you are not around when Africa truly gets
going, it would be much like the skeptics who stood on the sidelines in the
1990s convinced that China was going nowhere. How wrong they were!
Strong visionary leadership committed to good governance
has proved to be critical where our economies have recorded successes. Nigeria
earning 60% less revenue than 5 years ago, last year invested N1.3t in
infrastructure, the largest capital spend in its history. And will increase
that in the 2018 budget. Good governance, prudent management of resources, means
that you can do more with less. Ethiopia delivered its light rail and within
Addis ahead of schedule and with no cost overruns. Rwanda has shrugged off the
tragedy of genocide of barely 20 years ago, delivering on infrastructure and
earned its place as the second easiest place to do business in Africa. Ghana is
galloping away with GDP growth figures this year of 9%.
Across the entire continent there is a commitment to
providing much needed infrastructure in the form of power stations, ports, rail
networks, roads, that not only bring down the cost of doing business but also
actively engage the private sector in funding, operation and or ownership.
Nigeria recently announced the commencement of the
process of concessioning its major airports with a view to attracting world
class which it hopes to attract the investors .But perhaps most
importantly Africa now recognizes the limitations of governments, in cash and
capacity, to run businesses. Wisdom today is in letting the private sector
invest wherever it can and in practically any sector of the economy even those
that once carried the halo of national security assets such as telecoms and
power. Consequently we have seen the emergence of dynamic pan-African
investors, who on account of their track records are able to borrow
commercially cheaper than Governments. Aliko Dangote, is of course an excellent
example with investments in cement manufacturing in 10 African countries. Is
about to complete a 650000 barrels per day Refinery in Lagos Nigeria, the
largest single line Refinery in the world and larger than all four of
government owned refineries put together. A dedicated 550 kilometer subsea
pipeline passing through major gas processing hubs brings crude to the
refinery. He is also investing in a 3million Metric Ton fertilizer plant in the
location, the largest single line in the world.
Although the sizes of investments differ, the subtext is
the same, the confidence of local African investors in the opportunities
available on the continent. In broadband infrastructure Funke Opeke, Nigerian
born broadband entrepreneur’s MAIN ONE company launched West Africa’s first
privately owned submarine cable. The cable was built over a 2 year period and
the initial investment of $240 million was financed entirely by African
investors and the project broke even just over 2 years after launch. Even
during the economic turbulence, in 2016, private capital recognized the
potential in. Infrastructure investments. General Electric (GE), infused $186M
of investment in Phase 1 of the Nigerian Fast Power Program, and entered into
an MOU with seven States in the North of Nigeria where radiation is highest, to
supply 500MW of solar power across the states. GE is also finalizing the
documentation for the concession of our Lagos Kano narrow gauge rail line,
which will focus on cargo transportation from the Apapa Port northwards passing
through several economically strategic cities Northwards to Kano. This involves
a total investment of USD2.2billion.
And the opportunities are enormous indeed. Let me tell
you another quick story. Nigeria’s 180 million people, over 50 million have no
power. As part of our diversifying power sources to improve access we started a
programme of providing solar power in 20,000 homes in rural villages. We
started in Wuna a village just outside Abuja. Wuna is an agrarian community. It
is not on the grid, and had no other source of light. To charge their phones an
entrepreneur with a small generator runs a service. You take your phone to his
shop once a day or so, you pay a small fee for charging. Life in Wuna shuts
down at about 7pm until daylight. Working with a PPP model.
The government owned NDPHC partnered with Azuri
technology a private solar company to provide a domestic solar solution. Azuri
had provided the same end to end service in the East Africa. . A solar
home system, including a payment system. The system cost N1,900 a month ( about
7 dollars a month) . For the first time in its existence the village now
has running water solar powered ….. the school has power . The school
hall is now used a community all in the evenings. Each home has 4 points of
light.
Children can now stay up and do some studying at night.
Many of Wuna’s women who make process their millet and yams at night now. New
jobs have been created, solar installers, maintenance, payment systems. One guy
has lost his business in Wuna The phone charger. Every household can now charge
their phones. There a millions of homes waiting for solar power. There are
opportunities for Many Azuris.
The opportunities in our power sector are immense,
especially as we open the sector further. This month the National Electricity
Regulatory Commission in August issued the eligible customer directives and
will this month issue directives on independent metering. The eligible customer
regime allows a willing seller willing buyer arrangements in the sale of power.
While the independent metering allows independent entities aside from
registered power distribution companies to sell and install meters to customers
and be paid directly as collections are made from metered customers. This
deepening of the privatization of the power sector is bound to create a fresh
bounce in investment activity.
The story of investors in agriculture in Nigeria is also
worth hearing. R Carlos, is a Mexican farmer and proprietor of San Carlos
farms, possibly the largest banana and pineapples farm in Mexico. He partnered
with local investors to replicate his hugely successful fruit and vegetable
farms in Mexico in Nigeria. The idea was to grow for export. He currently farms
close to 5000 hectares. After his first harvest, he exported nothing but turned
in a decent profit. His partners asked him what the magic was. His answer, we
cannot even satisfy the local demand, besides according to him it was even more
lucrative to sell locally than to export. Agricultural production, or
manufacture of fast moving goods in a market the size of Nigeria and the
adjoining ECOWAS market is quite frankly a no- brainer.
Fahad Awadh, a 29-year old entrepreneur from Tanzania, who
set up a cashew processing facility in Tanzania also underscores the immense
opportunities in the agriculture value chain. The factory brings international
standards and traceability to the cashew nuts. The company’s flagship
processing facility in Zanzibar has an installed capacity of 2,500 Tons per
annum, and recently raised a $500,000 investment from the Africa Enterprise
Challenge Fund to establish another processing facility in Mtwara,
south-eastern Tanzania
But If I were a betting man I would surely put my money
on African businesses that demonstrate an awareness of how technology will be
an exponential catalyst for business. All over Africa telephony and technology
are unearthing riches hitherto unknown. Kenya’s M-pesa has become the largest
mobile telephony payment solution in the world. The story of how MTN in Nigeria
became the largest mobile network in Africa in less than a decade is still the
stuff of legendary investment stories. But the point to note is that those who
missed that pioneer telecoms opportunity typically assumed that the Nigerian
market was large but not rich enough to translate the numbers to cash. How
wrong they were.
Today, companies such as Flutterwave a payment solutions
company, Andela a software development engineering company Jobberman, an
on-line human resource , and Konga, an on line mall , are poignant
examples of how young African entrepreneurs are using technology disruptively
to create profit in various business lines. And evidently, smart money all over
the world is paying attention.
For example, Flutterwave, saw an investment of 10 million
USD, and Konga an impressive 25 million USD, the second biggest amount raised
by an African start-up business on the continent. And Andela attracted equity
investment from Facebook Mark Zuckerberg.
Over the last few decades, the global perception of
Africa has evolved from a “Hopeless Continent” to the “Africa Rising” rhetoric,
to a pride of “Lions on the Move”. But however one chooses to slice it, the
African growth story is real. Major global analysts appear united in the view
that Africca Has the highest number of economies projected to grow above 5% by
2030. Although in the last few years we have seen a number of African economies
experience major economic challenges due to the crash in resource prices on the
global market,
And as a result, Africa’s real GDP grew at an average of
3.3 percent a year between 2010 and 2015, considerably slower than the 5.4
percent from 2000 to 2010. And although FDIs and other capital flows to Africa
have slowed and accessing global debt markets is tough. Yet, this overall
picture is misleading.
When you unpack the average growth rate of the African
region, you find a good number of outlier growth stories, such as Ghana, which
recently recorded a 9% year-on-year growth in GDP for the second quarter of
2017 — I believe the highest in the world. In 2016, many other African
economies maintained high growth rates — for example, Ethiopia and Cote d’Ivoire
grew by approximately 8%; while Kenya, Mauritius, Rwanda and Senegal grew by
about 6% on average.
The rest of Africa posted accelerating growth at an
average annual rate of 4.4 percent in 2010 to 2015, compared with 4.1 percent
in 2000 to 2010.
All told I think it. Is evident that the continent’s
fundamentals are genuinely strong.
Permit me then to speak briefly about some of the
specific efforts that we are making in Nigeria to enable the private sector to
thrive. Specifically and in addition to on-going investments in production and
infrastructure we are undertaking extensive ‘ease of doing business’ reforms.
To start with, we have worked assiduously to improve
macroeconomic conditions. After a continuous slide in growth since 2014, the
trend of growth in GDP has turned around with a modest growth of 0.5% in the
second quarter of this year while inflation, though still somewhat high, has
declined from its peak of 18.7% in January 2017 to about 16% today.
The outlook going forward is quite positive based on
improvements in oil prices and production and the trend of leading indicators
such as positive purchasing managers indices, a revived stock exchange and
increasing foreign exchange reserves.
Moreover, the uncertainties in the foreign exchange
market have abated with the introduction of a new window for investors and
exporters (NIFEX) which gives more transparency and guarantees repatriation of
funds. The results have been encouraging as the inflows of capital in the
second quarter of 2017 of about $1.8 billion were almost double the amount of
$908 million imported in the first quarter of the year.
Indeed, investor interest remains undoubtedly strong with
announced investments of $22.42 billion from January to August 2017 in 41
projects across 22 states.
Importantly, for the first time, coordinated efforts are
underway to make it easier to do business in Nigeria. Through systemic changes,
we are repositioning regulators as facilitators of business, and are steadily
improving transparency and efficiency of service delivery by the public sector.
The In the first stage, reforms were introduced under a
60-day national action plan focused on eight areas that make it easier to
register businesses, obtain construction permits, get credit, pay taxes, get
electricity, trade across borders, facilitate entry and exit of people and
register property.”
Practical examples of success include leveraging the use
of technology to fast track business registration and payment of taxes, a
functioning, tried and tested 48 hour electronic visa procedure, and an
Executive Order mandating greater transparency and efficiency across all
government agencies. These reforms have led to reduction in cost and time, as
well as greater transparency for small and medium sized enterprises in
particular.
These reforms are complemented by a welcoming attitude to
investment. To properly guide investors and make it easier for them to access
required information, the National Investment Promotion Commission will be
releasing a Compendium of Investment Incentives in Nigeria by the end of this
month. Similarly, we have recently reviewed and revised our pioneer status
programme which gives five year tax holidays across eligible sectors.
Following the 70% success rate achieved in the first
phase of the ease of doing business reforms we recently embarked on a second
national action plan which will have 11 areas of focus and will run for 60 days
from October 2017.
The Nigerian government is intent on bringing about
rapid, sustainable and inclusive growth in order to improve the lot of our
dynamic and hardworking people. We realise that the scale of the challenge is
huge given our large and rapidly growing population and the relentless march of
progress in other parts of the world. We are nevertheless determined and
optimistic that Nigeria will along with the rest of the continent will bring
about an Africa that works for all its people and contributes to global growth
and prosperity.
Three lessons that Africa has learnt in the past few
years, first diversification from resource based revenues, second private and
sector and markets are key and creating the right environment is not optional.
Full text of the Vice President, Prof. Yemi Osinbajo at Financial Times Africa Summit
No comments: