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OPINION BY ADEDAPO ADENIRUJU : WHAT EXACTLY IS FELA DUROTOYE’S CRIME?

Mid-2017, media waves trailed behind Diane Rwigara as her campaign to become the president of Rwanda grabbed national attention as well as criticism. True, the odds were against Rwigara: single, 35, running independently, plus being a she in a typical African society. She was running against regular opposition candidate Frank Habineza, journalist Phillipe Mpayimana and Paul Kagame — who has been the country's president since 2000.
So, when news about Mr. Fela Durotoye's #RunningforANewNigeria began filtering through my timeline, I greeted it with mindless excitement:New bloodFresh thinkingVisionary leadership. Thoughts about Rwigara filtered in and I saw Fela Durotoye ticking similar boxes as Rwigara, save for slight differences: Fela is 47, male, and running under a political party — Alliance for New Nigeria.
In the last two months, FD's campaign has met with increasing criticism across Social Media platforms, so much that I probed myself: What has FD done to deserve this barrage of invectives? What exactly is his crime?
In over a decade of active following, I've found his passion compelling and his leadership, astute. This is why I think those who are attempting to reduce him to a mere motivational speaker are either untutored or incorrigibly denigrating.
One does not have to be boot-licking to think that Fela Durotoye has demonstrated competent leadership: for building one of Nigeria's leading business consulting and human resource management companies, and for grooming thousands of young leaders through Gemstone and Eden Nigeria; a faith-based organization spread across ten institutions and three cities.
A lot of people say Durotoye should have considered vying for an easily attainable office, while some insist that, for supporting Buhari in 2015, he deserves a greater misfortune than what the Buhari administration has brought on Nigerians.
A criticism I consider absolutely valid and difficult for Fela Durotoye to wish away is his history of political apathy.
As far as I know, FD has not much — if at all — engaged social conversations around public policies. On how many occasions has he pushed idea-based debates on issues related to education, security, electioneering, or health? Yes, I know of vigils and Nigeria-centered online prayer feasts. But I'm yet to learn how to pray away Nigeria's heterogeneity and diversity — in ethnic sentiments, religious affiliation, and political ideologies. How do we pray ideas into execution? Against what backdrops will FD's biases be adjudged if he never made an impression about ASUU Strike, restructuring, subsidy removal, Ebola crisis, national confab or even issues as seemingly trifling as the forgotten Olympic jersey?
The introductory connection drawn between Rwigara and Durotoye comes with steadfast deliberateness: Ms. Rwigara was known to publicly engage the political scene, calling out President Kagame on issues mostly associated with human rights violation, while Durotoye's age-old silence continues to trail after him. This difference becomes more pitiful when one realizes how much Kagame's administration dwarfs the overall economic performances of all Nigeria's president under these 19 years of undemocratic democracy.
So, let's interpolate: Rwigara spoke out relentlessly against one of the most remarkable administrations in recent Africa, while Durotoye remained inexhaustibly mute under some of the most overbearing, injudicious and corruption-laden administrations in the collective history of post-colonial Africa.
Such disservice to nationhood is what most of his critics have adjudged to be caused by a fear of conflict, rather than political correctness. Sadly, these years of accumulated silences surprisingly often catch up with aspirants who wish to surprise the public with their political ambition. It is interpreted as hiding from public scrutiny. If there exists other crimes bearing Durotoye's name, their roots can be traced to his longstanding refusal to overcome political inertia.
I do not dispute that Nigeria's political system needs charismatic men like Durotoye. What I find disturbing is that his entrance clearly indicates that not much has been learnt from the pitfalls of yesteryear's technocrats who pursued political revolutions, ignoring its complementary evolution.
On January 11, FD made a release in which he declared that he wants a party "with a clear ideology" but when you read ANN coordinator's responseto a question on ideology, you doubt if the party is not already sitting on a keg of gunpowder. He said: "Our own ideology is that Nigeria is one of the greatest countries created by God but we have not been blessed by good leaders. So we came about with the ideology can be great again."
Infant ANN doesn't have much time to grow before 2019. Yet, FD's campaign hinges on another fragile link: young and strong. When reactionary fanatics of #NotTooYoungToRun insist that young people must be given a chancelike Emmanuel Macron or Justin Trudeau, I feel choked by the smell of ignorance.
Two reasons:
One. Of the 36 that emerged governors in 1999, 61.1% (22) of them were younger than — or mates with — Fela Durotoye. Nobody gave them a chance. They took it. And as Oo Nwoye noted, there isn't any strong correlation between the youngest governors in '99 and the better governed states.
Two. FD's approach is neither Macronicnor Trudean. Macron got into active politics in 2001. He was 24. Trudeau was in high school when he began engaging public debates about Canadian federalism. In all fairness, the Macrons we should be talking about are the young Nigerians debating policies, participating in parties and engaging advocacy. They are the real barrier breakers.
History is old enough to teach us that when it comes down to winning political seats in Nigeria, our knowledge of leadership is never a worthy substitute for understanding politics. But as long as technocrats stick to this entitlement mentality, Nigeria's current political dynamics continues to prove less penetrable for newcomers running under newcomer-parties formed by newcomers.
When FD said his team will embark on grassroots mobilization within twelve months, I wondered if he meant it. Since the days of John the Baptist — pardon me — the man Atiku Abubakar, the habitual contender for the hot seat, has been caught again and again within grassroots communities; doing some of the smartest and unthinkable things to demonstrate his connection with the locals. But playing to the gallery of elite youths who support hashtags and chicken out when they're most needed, is a recurring error among technocrats attempting to navigate through Nigeria's lumpy, muddy waters.
I imagine that all these protruding deficiencies are redeemable if FD commits to remediation. But will twelve months deliver what twelve years could have done? Yet, I often think about Peter Thiel's four ways humans approach the future: definite optimism, definite pessimism, indefinite optimism and indefinite pessimism.
Here, I struggle to convince myself that, somehow, FD — the Fela Durotoye I know — has a grander plan than surrendering to the noise of cheerers; that he has a consciousness of history and would not build such a sophisticated mission upon indefinite optimism.
No matter which angle we choose to see it from, Fela Durotoye's active participation in politics is a good, courageous, even significant move. It will define a lot of things for youth engagement in the years to come.

Adedapo can be reached on Twitter via @adedapotreasure

OPINION: Too Young to Win? by Arthur Etim

As youth participation in governance gathers steam globally, the campaign rests moribund in Nigeria, stalled by local factors. Given this, the #Nottooyoungtorun bill currently being considered by State Houses of Assembly is an encouraging effort at turning the campaign into policy, inspired by the maxim “if the youth are old enough to vote, they are old enough to run”.
Truthfully, limited youth participation in Nigeria goes beyond age limits for political positions and the introduction of independent candidacy. Paramount amongst the stifling issues are concerns around campaign funding and electoral violence. As Nigeria begins to tackle youth participation, it is worth taking some time to look at the issues that may prevent the youths not just from running, but from winning. 
Money Wins Elections
The saying “money wins elections” is more than just a cliché; it has proven to be true, at least in the United States. As Alexander Heard quaintly suggested, money is the necessary “cost of democracy”.
In Nigeria, legislation imposes limits on campaign finance, but compliance is minimal. The 2010 Electoral Act pegs the spending limit for presidential candidates at ₦1 billion. However, the two principal political parties are estimated to have spent ₦8.7 billion and ₦2.9 billion in their respective presidential campaigns. 
Naturally, these costs present a high barrier to entry for young and ambitious candidates with fewer income-earning years under their belts. As first time participants in the political process, lack of access to traditional patronage networks coupled with weak enforcement of campaign limits entrenches the electoral advantages of older and more seasoned politicians.
One solution lies in a fundraising technique usually associated with start-up financing.Crowdfunding, which involves raising small amounts of money from large numbers of people, has the potential to partly bridge the funding gap for willing candidates. 
Already, donation-based crowdfunding platforms such as gofundme.com and Imeela are slowly emerging. A recent crowdfunding report stated that of $83 million raised in the African crowdfunding market in 2015, nearly $8 million was from Nigeria alone. Working on the assumption that the unofficial financial commitment required for a senatorial candidate is ₦200 Million (official requirement is pegged at ₦40 million), the viability of crowdfunding may be limited to lower profile political positions.
Admittedly, candidates interested in crowdfunding will face a unique challenge in Nigeria, a country with unique electoral funding techniques. Nigeria operates a ‘stomach infrastructure’ approach to campaigning, where candidates give money to voters, rather than the other way round. Asking Nigerians to fund campaigns is not unusual; indeed it happened in 2015, but it is not the usual dynamic.
In 2017 elections, Kenyan attempted to turn this model on its head by eliciting donations from the public, and one candidate managed to raise up to $53,000. 
Take note, young Nigeria. 
Ballots not Bullets
Over time, Nigerian politics has become a lucrative endeavour. The strong financial incentives of public office – whether elected or appointed – have made elections a do or die affair. As such, there is a strong trend of violence and thuggery. For ambitious candidates, especially the younger candidates with smaller networks of aggressive supporters, the violence is simply overwhelming.
Luckily, young people, recognising this situation, are actively opposing electoral violence. This was exhibited in Nigeria’s 2015 election with the “Vote Not Fight” campaign, where young people joined with the media, creative industries, civil society and nongovernmental organisations to demonstrate their desire to have peaceful elections.
The international community recently threw its weight behind this idea, through the United Nations Security Council Resolution 2250 on youth, peace and security. The resolution encourages countries to incorporate young people as partners in promoting peace and security and to give them a real say in how they are governed.
That being said, this problem is one that cannot be easily resolved. The irony remains that most of the thuggery is carried out by younger, physically able ‘voters’. But, these actors are motivated largely by money and patronage, which younger voters do not have as much access to. Indeed, this again highlights the primacy of money in determining the success of young participants in Nigerian elections.
Weapons of Mass Mobilisation
Social media presents the greatest opportunity for young people to mobilise support for their campaigns, without breaking the bank. Candidates can circumvent traditional and expensive methods of accessing voters by connecting directly with voters online. With modern data analytics, it is easier to identify and target specific demographics like women and students.
Few mediums can compete with the sheer speed at which news, poll results and information can be shared on social media. Statistics show that young people are the primary users of social media in Nigeria and that 65% of the country’s voting population comprise this demographic. And as the role of social media in influencing political action by young people was seen in the Arab Spring, the potential for impact in Nigeria continues to grow.
However, the impact of social media should not be exaggerated. The internet is not exclusively owned and controlled by young people. The growth of marketing and media agencies in Nigeria means that senior politicians can pay to play. Targeted marketing campaigns by agencies on behalf of less tech-savvy and senior politicians still gives them the same access that younger candidates have. In this regard, it is worth remembering that while social media can leverage the reach of younger candidates, it does not discriminate against usage by older and more established candidates. 
Bitter Truths
After all is said and done, one more point is usually overlooked in youth participation. Being young does not make one a good leader. The younger demographic must possess the human capital that makes them better than those they choose to replace. This involves developing the skills that established politicians are criticised for lacking.
It is not enough to carry banners claiming marginalisation. Do our young people possess core competencies of leadership and nation building? Do we have better policy-making skills, understanding of political systems and civic participation than the current crop of leaders? How do Twitter-savvy youths and student union executives match up to nationalistic founders whose grasp of leadership, self-determination and Pan Africanism has been compared to the American founding fathers?
These are questions to ponder before taking the plunge into politics. After all, better the devil you know than the devil you don’t.

Follow this Writer on Twitter @Arthur_MKJ

Original piece via Stears Business